markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=41.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Alberta join the US?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=61.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=20.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-5.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky
Polymarket top market 'Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu
Polymarket top market 'Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?': YES=0.95%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=8.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.10%
MSFTmarket:polymarket- 2026-06-06Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire
Polymarket top market 'Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire': YES=40.00%
SANCTUARYmarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-7.5)': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=47.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket