markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=67.00%

Polymarket top market 'Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=3.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.70%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?': YES=94.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.10%

Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova': YES=64.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=1.80%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=18.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?': YES=95.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=81.80%

Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=66.00%

Polymarket top market 'Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=78.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%