markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.60%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=73.44%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=1.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.20%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.70%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?': YES=3.60%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=18.50%

Polymarket top market 'Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%

Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=87.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?': YES=1.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%