markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-08Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-08Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-08Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Iran leadership change by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=21.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=78.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-08Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-08Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?': YES=96.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-08Spurs vs. Knicks
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Knicks': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-08Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket