markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-28Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Trump out as President by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=55.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladesh': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Owen Caissie win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Logan Webb strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.20%
market:polymarket