markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Trump out as President by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Owen Caissie win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Spread: Canada (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Canada (-1.5)': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs India': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Logan Webb strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Iran leadership change by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket