markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=8.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=23.20%

Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffs': YES=74.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=86.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets': YES=85.00%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 3 Canada?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Canada (-3.5)': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=97.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=24.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 0 Canada?': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Canada leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Logan Webb strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.60%