markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Germany (-1.5)': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=23.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=20.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=19.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket