markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto
Polymarket top market 'Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto': YES=55.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-1.5)': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublik': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Damir Dzumhur vs Arthur Fery': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket