markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Iran leadership change by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=20.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket