markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30No one announced as next James Bond?
Polymarket top market 'No one announced as next James Bond?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto
Polymarket top market 'Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto': YES=52.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=51.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones': YES=96.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Iran leadership change by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket