markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=28.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-30Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=19.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket