markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Games Total: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Games Total: O/U 3.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=84.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket