markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,697 events on 2026-07-04role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-07-04Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=36.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5': YES=95.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 France?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees': YES=99.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 3 France?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Kevin McGonigle hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kevin McGonigle hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Spread: France (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-3.5)': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04France leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'France leading at halftime?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 France?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini
Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-04Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket