markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kevin McGonigle hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=35.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket