markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-06Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?': YES=20.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: England (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-2.5)': YES=7.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?': YES=15.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Mexico (-2.5)': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5': YES=43.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06England leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'England leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 England?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket