markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=18.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?': YES=32.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Athens Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkari': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Rome: Sofya Lansere vs Elena Malygina
Polymarket top market 'Rome: Sofya Lansere vs Elena Malygina': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
XAImarket:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dart
Polymarket top market 'Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dart': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrena': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=37.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=55.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche': YES=77.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Anastasia Gasanova vs Susan Bandecchi': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=29.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Athens Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Bejlek': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket