markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-13England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=40.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=36.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=19.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=15.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=50.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?': YES=29.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-14?': YES=41.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=59.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket