markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Martin Krumich': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=20.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionov': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?': YES=32.75%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 13?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Iasi Open: Clara Burel vs Yulia Putintseva': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?': YES=92.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=36.50%
market:polymarket