markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=6.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5': YES=92.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=80.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom
Polymarket top market 'Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom': YES=51.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=14.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=55.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=34.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Miguel Tobon': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-13Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket