markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-15Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 14?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Spread: England (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-3.5)': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 15?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=28.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'England leading at halftime?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF Sao Paulo: Isabella Barrera Aguirre vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=39.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echargui': YES=69.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket