markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
MOONSHOTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16France vs. England: O/U 6.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 6.5': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16France vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulic
Polymarket top market 'Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulic': YES=38.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16France vs. England: Team to Win
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Team to Win': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=89.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket