markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17France vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17France vs. England: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=96.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilar': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo Villanueva': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Athletics': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-17Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosa
Polymarket top market 'Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosa': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-17Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=32.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket