markets

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=51.57%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?': YES=3.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=81.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=89.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?': YES=91.30%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=3.60%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?': YES=4.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=82.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=24.00%

Polymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia': YES=67.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?': YES=96.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%