markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=90.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=94.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Somerset
Polymarket top market 'T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Somerset': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=14.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will France vs. England end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. England end in a draw?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=59.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: Team to Win
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Team to Win': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-18?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=40.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=40.20%
market:polymarket