markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-18Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever': YES=68.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-17?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-17?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Athletics': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will France vs. England end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. England end in a draw?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=94.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-18?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: Team to Win
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Team to Win': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=59.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=40.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=41.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket