markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,678 events on 2026-07-19role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

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2026-07-19Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Polymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Daniel
Polymarket top market 'Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Daniel': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=94.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket top market 'Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-19?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5': YES=11.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 2+ goals': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=28.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren
Polymarket top market 'Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Polymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=91.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 1+ goals': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19ODI Series England vs India: England vs India
Polymarket top market 'ODI Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=22.75%
market:polymarket