markets

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=51.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?': YES=99.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=4.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Querétaro FC vs. CF América end in a draw?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5': YES=11.25%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5': YES=89.50%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=9.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-07-18?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=11.90%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%