markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-19Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?': YES=31.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=94.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=28.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=97.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 1+ goals': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=91.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=22.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-2.5)': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 3+ goals': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=19.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=12.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=46.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=68.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket