markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Rafael Devers lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-20Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=48.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?': YES=97.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Duren play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Riley Greene lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=13.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
DEEPSEEKmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 20?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-20Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: 3v Team vs NCG Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket