markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=51.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.65%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=4.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Segovia: Ivan Marrero vs Facundo Mena': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=30.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=14.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)': YES=65.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=7.00%