markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-21S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunk': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick': YES=61.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikova': YES=12.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-21?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=10.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=39.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=38.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=40.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket