markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-21Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Larne FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=12.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=44.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Palermo: Miriam Bulgaru vs Caijsa Hennemann': YES=9.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket