markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
TLNmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=40.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Palermo: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Lola Radivojevic': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torres': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Zug: Daniel Rincon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=1.20%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=15.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner': YES=97.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=31.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=66.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket