markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=26.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=9.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=47.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=45.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=73.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5': YES=98.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=40.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chan
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chan': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=14.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=97.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-22Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket