markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=44.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemot': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Palermo: Miriam Bulgaru vs Caijsa Hennemann': YES=9.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=27.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=40.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=73.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=37.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Palermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimova': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=36.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=81.90%
market:polymarket