markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=47.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?': YES=95.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.60%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Buse': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=36.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group D': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=66.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=74.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=47.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=27.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=72.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket