markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA release an RTX 5080 Ti?': YES=10.08%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=51.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.65%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=9.90%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=24.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 24?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=7.30%

Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?': YES=97.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 24?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 23?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=37.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=11.50%