markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-22?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.90%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=79.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=24.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=43.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=24.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-23Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket