markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-07-23?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.30%
GOOGLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=16.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?': YES=1.00%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-24Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=15.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=37.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 24?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=26.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-24Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-23?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-24Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=65.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Hayato Matsuoka vs Clement Chidekh': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket