markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=49.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=13.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?': YES=97.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-25?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=3.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=8.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=77.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Colombo Kaps': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.40%