markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage': YES=99.90%
CIRCLEmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=13.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=24.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=94.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigur': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
Polymarket top market 'Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=74.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket