markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=31.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=10.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-24?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-24?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=66.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=9.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?': YES=93.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=53.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=72.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket