markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will FC København win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC København win on 2026-07-26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=97.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
GOOGLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-26Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%
MOONSHOTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'FC København vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Julieta Pareja': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=41.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=83.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket