markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=92.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=31.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=14.00%
MOONSHOTmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=99.40%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=97.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=17.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket