markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-26Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-26?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Korpatsch': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Tagger': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=81.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=42.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket