markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=99.40%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=95.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=19.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=99.90%
BSDAmarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=79.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=31.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket