markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=96.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-07-26?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=97.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnson': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-26?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-26?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferro
Polymarket top market 'Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferro': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-26Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?
Polymarket top market 'Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=7.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-26Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket