markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI London
Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI London': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Eternal Fire vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?': YES=0.10%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winner': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=21.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-25Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=26.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Oliver Crawford': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Mariam Bolkvadze': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket