markets

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.80%

Polymarket top market 'Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=4.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=86.50%

Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 29?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallants': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=36.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 29?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=9.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs': YES=32.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=91.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?': YES=22.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=41.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%