markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagal
Polymarket top market 'Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagal': YES=7.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=17.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=11.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=10.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=24.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=75.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket